Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021438 0.023030 0.024687 0.026543 0.028567 0.030707 0.033147
2024-10-20 0.018396 0.020629 0.023075 0.025961 0.029282 0.032997 0.037483
2024-10-27 0.016800 0.019463 0.022494 0.026217 0.030689 0.035917 0.042534
2024-11-03 0.015493 0.018422 0.021860 0.026223 0.031650 0.038232 0.046900
2024-11-10 0.014617 0.017773 0.021578 0.026544 0.032918 0.040905 0.051803
2024-11-17 0.013606 0.016859 0.020869 0.026232 0.033299 0.042410 0.055236
2024-11-24 0.012828 0.016167 0.020369 0.026115 0.033873 0.044143 0.059027
2024-12-01 0.012053 0.015421 0.019737 0.025757 0.034066 0.045330 0.062098
2024-12-08 0.011526 0.014961 0.019440 0.025808 0.034789 0.047250 0.066296
2024-12-15 0.010910 0.014343 0.018890 0.025464 0.034916 0.048310 0.069277
2024-12-22 0.010298 0.013695 0.018259 0.024962 0.034769 0.048938 0.071619
2024-12-29 0.009829 0.013219 0.017837 0.024722 0.034973 0.050071 0.074781
2025-01-05 0.009382 0.012757 0.017415 0.024466 0.035143 0.051172 0.077993
2025-01-12 0.008877 0.012189 0.016816 0.023915 0.034832 0.051509 0.079986
2025-01-19 0.008643 0.011997 0.016746 0.024142 0.035716 0.053746 0.085250
2025-01-26 0.008361 0.011722 0.016539 0.024146 0.036242 0.055432 0.089694
2025-02-02 0.008179 0.011583 0.016523 0.024438 0.037232 0.057918 0.095691
2025-02-09 0.007855 0.011220 0.016154 0.024154 0.037270 0.058819 0.098935
2025-02-16 0.007598 0.010945 0.015906 0.024048 0.037587 0.060198 0.103131
2025-02-23 0.007302 0.010600 0.015535 0.023723 0.037517 0.060899 0.106109
2025-03-02 0.007113 0.010412 0.015398 0.023770 0.038072 0.062715 0.111317
2025-03-09 0.006851 0.010099 0.015054 0.023458 0.037990 0.063387 0.114358
2025-03-16 0.006570 0.009749 0.014635 0.023001 0.037631 0.063534 0.116362